Sport Picks

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Pero Pinheiro vs Fatima

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 Parque de Jogos Pardal Monteiro, Sintra
Pero Pinheiro Logo

Pero Pinheiro

0 - 1
FT
Fatima Logo

Fatima

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Duarte C.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Pero Pinheiro and Fatima finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pero Pinheiro
15%
Draws
76%
Fatima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatima come out ahead of Pero Pinheiro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fatima's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Pero Pinheiro Clean Sheet 22%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pero Pinheiro Fatima
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.47 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Pero Pinheiro
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Pero Pinheiro vs Fatima
0:1
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pero Pinheiro vs Fatima
0:0
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Fatima vs Pero Pinheiro
0:0
Mar 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fatima vs Pero Pinheiro
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pero Pinheiro 10 / 100
Fatima 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pero Pinheiro Fatima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Pero Pinheiro found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Pero Pinheiro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fatima
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pero Pinheiro

(Home)
13 Apr
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
06 Apr
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
Mortagua FC
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
O Elvas CAD
09 Mar
Fatima
4 : 0
Pero Pinheiro
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Fatima

(Away)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)