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Pero Pinheiro vs GD Coruchense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pero Pinheiro in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pero Pinheiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pero Pinheiro
20%
Draws
64%
GD Coruchense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Coruchense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pero Pinheiro haven't matched GD Coruchense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives GD Coruchense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pero Pinheiro Clean Sheet 21%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pero Pinheiro GD Coruchense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.53 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Pero Pinheiro vs GD Coruchense
2:1
Nov 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Coruchense vs Pero Pinheiro
1:1
Feb 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Pero Pinheiro vs GD Coruchense
0:3
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GD Coruchense vs Pero Pinheiro
2:0
Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Pero Pinheiro vs GD Coruchense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pero Pinheiro 10 / 100
GD Coruchense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pero Pinheiro GD Coruchense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Coruchense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Coruchense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

GD Coruchense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pero Pinheiro's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pero Pinheiro VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pero Pinheiro

(Home)
13 Apr
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
06 Apr
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
Mortagua FC
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
O Elvas CAD
09 Mar
Fatima
4 : 0
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 7

GD Coruchense

(Away)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)