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Perolas Negras vs CEAC/Araruama

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Wheidson Recife
72' Event
Wendel
79' Event
Talisson

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Perolas Negras and CEAC/Araruama finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perolas Negras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Perolas Negras
39%
Draws
31%
CEAC/Araruama
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama haven't matched Perolas Negras's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras CEAC/Araruama
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs CEAC/Araruama
3:1
May 17, 2025 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Perolas Negras
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Wheidson Recife
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 41 / 100
CEAC/Araruama 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras CEAC/Araruama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CEAC/Araruama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Perolas Negras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS CEAC/Araruama
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
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CEAC/Araruama

(Away)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)