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Perolas Negras W vs CEAC/Araruama W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perolas Negras W host CEAC/Araruama W in the Carioca Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Perolas Negras W at 1.45 goals for, 1.45 against; CEAC/Araruama W at 1.83 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor Perolas Negras W slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.25) point toward Perolas Negras W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Perolas Negras W
35%
Draws
45%
CEAC/Araruama W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CEAC/Araruama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Perolas Negras W have won more games recently than CEAC/Araruama W.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on CEAC/Araruama W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 19%
CEAC/Araruama W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras W CEAC/Araruama W
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 10 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.45 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Carioca Women
CEAC/Araruama W vs Perolas Negras W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras W 16 / 100
CEAC/Araruama W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras W CEAC/Araruama W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEAC/Araruama W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Perolas Negras W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CEAC/Araruama W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras W VS CEAC/Araruama W
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras W

(Home)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

CEAC/Araruama W

(Away)
26 Oct
Olaria W
0 : 5
CEAC/Araruama W
23 Oct
Botafogo RJ W
5 : 0
CEAC/Araruama W
19 Oct
Boavista W
0 : 6
CEAC/Araruama W
16 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
0 : 0
EC Resende W
13 Oct
CEAC/Araruama W
0 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buzios W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Perolas Negras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CEAC/Araruama W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Heips W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Cabofriense W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Campos AA W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Carioca Women (Second stage)