Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perolas Negras W vs Heips W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women
Perolas Negras W Logo

Perolas Negras W

4 - 1
FT
Heips W Logo

Heips W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Amaral L.
35' Event
Lopez H.
73' Event
Ketelen
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca Women game between Perolas Negras W and Heips W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perolas Negras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Perolas Negras W
30%
Draws
35%
Heips W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perolas Negras W come out ahead of Heips W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Perolas Negras W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 19%
Heips W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras W Heips W
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.43 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Carioca Women
Perolas Negras W vs Heips W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Heips W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketelen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras W 49 / 100
Heips W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras W Heips W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Perolas Negras W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Heips W let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Recent resilience: Perolas Negras W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras W VS Heips W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras W

(Home)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

Heips W

(Away)
30 May
Coritiba W
2 : 0
Heips W
27 May
Heips W
0 : 2
Coritiba W
17 May
Heips W
0 : 1
Coritiba W
13 May
Sampaio Correa W
2 : 3
Heips W
02 May
Realidade Jovem W
3 : 0
Heips W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Flamengo W 7 6 1 0 57:3 19
2 Fluminense W 7 5 1 1 40:4 16
3 Botafogo RJ W 7 4 2 1 55:5 14
4 Vasco W 7 4 1 2 37:10 13
5 Perolas Negras W 7 3 1 3 17:11 10
6 Heips W 7 2 0 5 11:34 6
7 EC Resende W 7 1 0 6 8:78 3
8 Buzios W 7 0 0 7 1:81 0
Promotion - Carioca Women (Play Offs)