Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perolas Negras W vs Paysandu PA W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perolas Negras W play Paysandu PA W in the Brasileiro A2 Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Perolas Negras W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Paysandu PA W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Perolas Negras W won 1, Paysandu PA W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Perolas Negras W and 1.00 for Paysandu PA W. This points to a Perolas Negras W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Perolas Negras W
20%
Draws
31%
Paysandu PA W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perolas Negras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Perolas Negras W picked up more points recently compared to Paysandu PA W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 23%
Paysandu PA W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras W Paysandu PA W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Perolas Negras W vs Paysandu PA W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Geisi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paysandu PA W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras W 49 / 100
Paysandu PA W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras W Paysandu PA W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Perolas Negras W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Perolas Negras W attacking → ← attacking Paysandu PA W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Paysandu PA W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Perolas Negras W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paysandu PA W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1145211:817
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Doce Mel W123459:1813
12Ceara W1131710:1710
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284