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Perolas Negras W vs Sao Joao PI W

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women
Thu, May 7, 2026
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perolas Negras W play Sao Joao PI W in the Copa do Brasil Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Perolas Negras W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Sao Joao PI W averaged 2.25 goals scored and 2.42 conceded. In past meetings, Perolas Negras W won 0, Sao Joao PI W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 7, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Perolas Negras W and 2.38 for Sao Joao PI W. This points to a Sao Joao PI W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Perolas Negras W
18%
Draws
52%
Sao Joao PI W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sao Joao PI W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Perolas Negras W picked up more points recently compared to Sao Joao PI W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Joao PI W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras W Sao Joao PI W
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Perolas Negras W vs Sao Joao PI W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sofia Sena
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sao Joao PI W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ducyellen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras W 29 / 100
Sao Joao PI W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras W Sao Joao PI W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Joao PI W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Perolas Negras W attacking → ← attacking Sao Joao PI W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Sao Joao PI W let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Perolas Negras W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Joao PI W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 48
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75