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Persebaya vs Borneo

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Villa J.
Assist: Caxambu
24' Event
Freitas Gali
36'
Firmansyah T.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Persebaya and Borneo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Persebaya
15%
Draws
39%
Borneo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Very High Confidence
  • Borneo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Borneo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 15%
Borneo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persebaya Borneo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 21
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 3.13 2.57
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Persebaya
5:1
Dec 20, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Borneo
2:2
May 18, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Persebaya
1:1
Dec 20, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs Borneo
2:1
Mar 7, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Persebaya
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persebaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas Gali
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malik R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.34
Avg xA / game 1.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persebaya 15 / 100
Borneo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persebaya Borneo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persebaya scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Persebaya stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Borneo conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Persebaya VS Borneo
3.13 Goals Scored 2.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
04 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Arema FC
01 Aug
Persebaya
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSMS Medan
26 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0
Persija Jakarta
Page 1 of 6

Borneo

(Away)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Malut United
17 May
Persijap Jepara
0 : 0
Borneo
11 May
Bali United
2 : 3
Borneo
05 May
Borneo
2 : 0
Persita
29 Apr
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Borneo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Malut United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)