Sport Picks
Persebaya vs Madura United
Indonesia
Super League Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Persebaya host Madura United in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Madura United have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Persebaya have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Persebaya have won 3 to Madura United's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.31, favoring Persebaya. Persebaya in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Persebaya has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Madura United.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Persebaya.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persebaya | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persebaya Compare
Madura United Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persebaya scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Madura United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Persebaya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Madura United lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |