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Persebaya vs Persija Jakarta Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

President Cup Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Firmansyah T.
13'
Sulaeman W.
20'
Firmansyah A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Persebaya
20%
Draws
46%
Persija Jakarta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persija Jakarta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Persebaya average 1.9 goals a game right now, well clear of Persija Jakarta's 1.87.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Persebaya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 17%
Persija Jakarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persebaya Persija Jakarta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 President Cup
Persebaya vs Persija Jakarta
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Persija Jakarta
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya
1:1
Nov 22, 2024 Super League
Persebaya vs Persija Jakarta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persebaya 31 / 100
Persija Jakarta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persebaya Persija Jakarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persija Jakarta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persebaya scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Persebaya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Persija Jakarta let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Persebaya VS Persija Jakarta
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1
Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0
Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

Persija Jakarta

(Away)
19 Sept
Persija Jakarta
1 : 0
Java United
12 Sept
Persija Jakarta
2 : 1
Persib Bandung
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
06 Aug
Persija Jakarta
3 : 1
Arema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Arema FC 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Tampines 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 DPMM 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persebaya 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
2 Persija Jakarta 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Port MTI FC 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 PSMS Medan 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - President Cup (Play Offs)