Sport Picks

Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia

I.League Cup Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya

PSBS Biak Numfor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the I.League Cup. This has Persebaya written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Persebaya at 1.76 goals for, 1 against; PSBS Biak Numfor at 0.72 for, 3.76 against. Head-to-head, Persebaya have won 3 to PSBS Biak Numfor's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (3.19 xG vs 0.56) point toward Persebaya. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Persebaya

20%

Draws

PSBS Biak Numfor

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persebaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Persebaya come out ahead of PSBS Biak Numfor on wins alone.
Persebaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Persebaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Persebaya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Persebaya Clean Sheet 20%

PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Persebaya	PSBS Biak Numfor
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	16	1
Draws	7	3
Losses	6	25
Goals Scored	1.76	0.72
Goals Conceded	1	3.76
Expected Goals (xG)	3.19	0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League

Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor

4:0

Oct 24, 2025 Super League

PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya

0:0

Feb 15, 2025 Super League

Persebaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor

1:0

Sep 22, 2024 Super League

PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya

0:1

Oct 8, 2017 Championship

PSBS Biak Numfor vs Persebaya

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persebaya 85 / 100

PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Persebaya PSBS Biak Numfor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persebaya Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persebaya scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

PSBS Biak Numfor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

PSBS Biak Numfor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Persebaya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persebaya VS PSBS Biak Numfor

1.25 Goals Scored 0.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 5.13

50% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Persebaya

(Home)

03 Nov

Tornado Pekanbaru

3 : 2

Persebaya

30 Oct

Persebaya

1 : 1

Persijap Jepara

26 Oct

Persebaya

3 : 1

Madura United

22 Oct

PSM Makassar

1 : 0

Persebaya

18 Oct

Persebaya

2 : 2

PSS Sleman

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PSBS Biak Numfor

(Away)

29 Oct

Balikpapan

3 : 1

PSBS Biak Numfor

23 Oct

PSBS Biak Numfor

0 : 3

PS Barito Putera

17 Oct

PSBS Biak Numfor

1 : 6

Persipura Jayapura

10 Oct

Tornado Pekanbaru

6 : 0

PSBS Biak Numfor

03 Oct

PSBS Biak Numfor

1 : 5

RANS Nusantara

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