Sport Picks
Persekat Tegal vs PSMS Medan
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal 
Match Events
7'
7'
Rama A. R.
26'
26'
Atieda S.
Assist: Serra Matos P. M.
29'
29'
Sub
Atieda S. In: Saputro R.
Out: Atieda S.
AI Match Summary
Persekat Tegal in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persekat Tegal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- PSMS Medan have won more games recently than Persekat Tegal.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 16%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persekat Tegal | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs PSMS Medan
2:0
Nov 13, 2025 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs PSMS Medan
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persekat Tegal
0:1
Jul 19, 2020 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persekat Tegal
0:0
Mar 25, 2020 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs PSMS Medan
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persekat Tegal Compare
Top Goalscorer Atieda S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yusgiantoro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
PSMS Medan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persekat Tegal 36 / 100
PSMS Medan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persekat Tegal PSMS Medan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSMS Medan has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Persekat Tegal's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: PSMS Medan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Persekat Tegal VS PSMS Medan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Persekat Tegal
(Home) 08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
01 Mar
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Isenmulang Kalteng
21 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 3
PSMS Medan
(Away) 20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
11 Apr
Garudayaksa
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
