Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persekat Tegal vs Sriwijaya

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Rama A. R.
37'
Rahman F.
41'
Sub
Dwipan F. In: Cantona K.
Out: Dwipan F.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persekat Tegal and Sriwijaya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persekat Tegal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Persekat Tegal
15%
Draws
0%
Sriwijaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persekat Tegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persekat Tegal come out ahead of Sriwijaya on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Persekat Tegal taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 20%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persekat Tegal Sriwijaya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 15 26
Goals Scored 0.87 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Sriwijaya
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Sriwijaya
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Persekat Tegal
0:1
Jul 10, 2020 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Sriwijaya
0:0
Mar 19, 2020 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Persekat Tegal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persekat Tegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Saputro R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Sriwijaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persekat Tegal 85 / 100
Sriwijaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persekat Tegal Sriwijaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persekat Tegal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sriwijaya conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Sriwijaya registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Persekat Tegal found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Persekat Tegal VS Sriwijaya
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persekat Tegal

(Home)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2
Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 6

Sriwijaya

(Away)
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0
Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3
Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0
Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)