Sport Picks
Persekat Tegal vs Sumsel United Prediction & H2H Stats
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Tri Sanja Stadium, Tegal 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Bajo I. In: Fatchu Rochman M.
Out: Bajo I.
46'
46'
Sub
Fariel N. In: Afrizal S.
Out: Fariel N.
55'
55'
Wahyu D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sumsel United lately — more wins on the board than Persekat Tegal.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Persekat Tegal taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sumsel United here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Persekat Tegal Clean Sheet 14%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persekat Tegal | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persekat Tegal
3:1
Jan 3, 2026 Championship
Persekat Tegal vs Sumsel United
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persekat Tegal
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persekat Tegal Compare
Top Goalscorer Mandosir E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sumsel United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persekat Tegal 41 / 100
Sumsel United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persekat Tegal Sumsel United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persekat Tegal found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Sumsel United let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Sumsel United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Persekat Tegal VS Sumsel United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Persekat Tegal
(Home) 08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
01 Mar
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Isenmulang Kalteng
21 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 3
Sumsel United
(Away) 26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Isenmulang Kalteng
3 : 2 Sumsel United
14 Feb
PSMS Medan
3 : 1 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
