Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persela Lamongan vs Persewar Waropen

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan
Sun, Dec 1, 2024
3 - 0
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Persela Lamongan host Persewar Waropen in the Liga 2 2024/2025. Persela Lamongan go into this one as the clear favorite. Persewar Waropen have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Persela Lamongan have conceded 0.77 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Persela Lamongan have won 2 to Persewar Waropen's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.94, favoring Persela Lamongan. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Persela Lamongan
30%
Draws
12%
Persewar Waropen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persela Lamongan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Persela Lamongan have won more games recently than Persewar Waropen.
  • Win probability leans Persela Lamongan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 20%
Persewar Waropen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persela Lamongan Persewar Waropen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persewar Waropen
3:0
Sep 20, 2024 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Persela Lamongan
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persela Lamongan 85 / 100
Persewar Waropen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persela Lamongan Persewar Waropen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persela Lamongan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persewar Waropen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Persela Lamongan scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Persela Lamongan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persela Lamongan VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persela Lamongan

(Home)
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
PS Barito Putera
Page 1 of 7

Persewar Waropen

(Away)
25 Feb
Persewar Waropen
2 : 6
Persibo Bojonegoro
20 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Persiku Kudus
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)