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Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Salampessy R. In: Kambu M.
Out: Salampessy R.
20' Event
Sulistyawan D.
Assist: Utomo R.
46'
Sub
Mandowen G. In: Sinim L.
Out: Mandowen G.

AI Match Summary

Persela Lamongan in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persela Lamongan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Persela Lamongan
20%
Draws
42%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Persela Lamongan haven't matched Persipura Jayapura's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 17%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persela Lamongan Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura
3:1
Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persela Lamongan
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persela Lamongan
2:0
Oct 6, 2025 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura
1:2
Dec 6, 2024 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persela Lamongan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulistyawan D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cabral J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persela Lamongan 31 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persela Lamongan Persipura Jayapura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persela Lamongan found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Persela Lamongan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Persipura Jayapura conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Persela Lamongan VS Persipura Jayapura
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Persela Lamongan

(Home)
03 Nov
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
31 Oct
Persela Lamongan
3 : 1
Persipura Jayapura
25 Oct
Persela Lamongan
2 : 2
De Red
17 Oct
RANS Nusantara
1 : 0
Persela Lamongan
11 Oct
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
Deltras Sidoarjo
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Persipura Jayapura

(Away)
31 Oct
Persela Lamongan
3 : 1
Persipura Jayapura
23 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
5 : 1
Balikpapan
17 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
1 : 6
Persipura Jayapura
09 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 3
RANS Nusantara
02 Oct
De Red
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)