Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persela Lamongan vs PSBS Biak Numfor

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Persela Lamongan host PSBS Biak Numfor in the Championship. This has Persela Lamongan written all over it on paper. PSBS Biak Numfor have shipped 3.24 goals a game lately, while Persela Lamongan have conceded 0.84 and scored 1.31. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 3.06 vs 0.75, favoring Persela Lamongan. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Persela Lamongan
15%
Draws
0%
PSBS Biak Numfor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Persela Lamongan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • PSBS Biak Numfor haven't matched Persela Lamongan's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Persela Lamongan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 20%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persela Lamongan PSBS Biak Numfor
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.31 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.84 3.24
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persela Lamongan 85 / 100
PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persela Lamongan PSBS Biak Numfor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persela Lamongan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSBS Biak Numfor let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

PSBS Biak Numfor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Persela Lamongan scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Persela Lamongan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persela Lamongan VS PSBS Biak Numfor
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 4.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Persela Lamongan

(Home)
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
PS Barito Putera
Page 1 of 7

PSBS Biak Numfor

(Away)
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Deltras Sidoarjo
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5
Arema FC
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Dewa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 PSMS Medan 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
3 PSIS Semarang 2 1 1 0 3:2 3
4 Semen Padang 2 1 1 0 2:1 3
5 PSGC Ciamis 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 PSPS Riau 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Bekasi City 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
8 Sumsel United 2 0 1 1 2:4 0
9 Persiraja Aceh 2 0 0 2 1:3 -1
10 Persiku Kudus 2 0 1 1 1:7 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Persela Lamongan 2 2 0 0 3:0 5
3 RANS Nusantara 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
4 Persis Solo 2 1 0 1 7:2 3
5 Tornado Pekanbaru 2 1 1 0 1:0 3
6 PS Barito Putera 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
7 Dejan 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
8 Persipura Jayapura 2 0 1 1 2:3 0
9 Balikpapan 2 0 0 2 2:4 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 2 0 0 2 0:12 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)