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Stadium Background

Persela Lamongan vs Tornado Pekanbaru

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Al Maruf G.
Assist: Hajar I.
33'
Goncalves
36'
Al Maruf G.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persela Lamongan and Tornado Pekanbaru finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tornado Pekanbaru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Persela Lamongan
20%
Draws
40%
Tornado Pekanbaru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tornado Pekanbaru come out ahead of Persela Lamongan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tornado Pekanbaru a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tornado Pekanbaru have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 16%
Tornado Pekanbaru Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persela Lamongan Tornado Pekanbaru
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persela Lamongan
5:0
Nov 16, 2025 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Tornado Pekanbaru
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Championship
Tornado Pekanbaru vs Persela Lamongan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persela Lamongan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tornado Pekanbaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Maruf G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persela Lamongan 15 / 100
Tornado Pekanbaru 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persela Lamongan Tornado Pekanbaru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tornado Pekanbaru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persela Lamongan's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Persela Lamongan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tornado Pekanbaru has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persela Lamongan VS Tornado Pekanbaru
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Persela Lamongan

(Home)
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persis Solo
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
PS Barito Putera
Page 1 of 6

Tornado Pekanbaru

(Away)
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
Dejan
0 : 1
Tornado Pekanbaru
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
19 Apr
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2
Tornado Pekanbaru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)