Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persepolis vs Sepahan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Sarlak M.
42'
Yousefi A.
46'
Sub
Khodabandelou M. In: Bakic M.
Out: Khodabandelou M.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Persepolis and Sepahan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persepolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Persepolis
33%
Draws
40%
Sepahan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sepahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sepahan come out ahead of Persepolis on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sepahan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 21%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persepolis Sepahan
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Sepahan
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Persepolis
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Sepahan
0:2
Feb 12, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Sepahan vs Persepolis
3:2
Jan 17, 2025 Super Cup
Persepolis vs Sepahan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Urunov O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sergeev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sepahan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persepolis 29 / 100
Sepahan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persepolis Sepahan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persepolis found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sepahan has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Persepolis stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persepolis VS Sepahan
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persepolis

(Home)
26 Jun
Chadormalu
2 : 1
Persepolis
20 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
14 Feb
Gol Gohar
3 : 1
Persepolis
08 Feb
Malavan
1 : 0
Persepolis
03 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 0
Chadormalu
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Sepahan

(Away)
27 Feb
Paykan
0 : 0
Sepahan
23 Feb
Sepahan
3 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
18 Feb
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Sepahan
11 Feb
Sepahan
2 : 2
Al Ahli
06 Feb
Sepahan
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)