Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persepolis vs Sepahan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Sarlak M.
42'
Yousefi A.
46'
Sub
Khodabandelou M. In: Bakic M.
Out: Khodabandelou M.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Persepolis and Sepahan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persepolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Persepolis
20%
Draws
33%
Sepahan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sepahan come out ahead of Persepolis on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Persepolis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persepolis Sepahan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.26 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Sepahan
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Persepolis
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Sepahan
0:2
Feb 12, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Sepahan vs Persepolis
3:2
Jan 17, 2025 Super Cup
Persepolis vs Sepahan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Urunov O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sergeev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sepahan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persepolis 95 / 100
Sepahan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persepolis Sepahan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persepolis found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Persepolis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sepahan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Persepolis VS Sepahan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persepolis

(Home)
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

Sepahan

(Away)
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
28 Aug
Sepahan
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0
Sepahan
18 Aug
Sepahan
0 : 2
Tractor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)