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Persija Jakarta vs Sumsel United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

I.League Cup Bung Karno Stadium, Jakarta
Persija Jakarta Logo

Persija Jakarta

Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Sumsel United Logo

Sumsel United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the I.League Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Persija Jakarta have averaged 2.14 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Sumsel United's 1.59 scored and 1.31 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.19, favoring Persija Jakarta. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Persija Jakarta
20%
Draws
47%
Sumsel United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sumsel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Persija Jakarta lately — more wins on the board than Sumsel United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Persija Jakarta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Persija Jakarta Clean Sheet 20%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persija Jakarta Sumsel United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.14 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persija Jakarta 32 / 100
Sumsel United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persija Jakarta Sumsel United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persija Jakarta scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Sumsel United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Persija Jakarta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sumsel United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persija Jakarta VS Sumsel United
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persija Jakarta

(Home)
03 Nov
PSMS Medan
1 : 1
Persija Jakarta
31 Oct
Dewa United
2 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Oct
Persija Jakarta
2 : 1
Persik Kediri
21 Oct
Persija Jakarta
5 : 1
Arema FC
17 Oct
Persita
3 : 2
Persija Jakarta
Page 1 of 6

Sumsel United

(Away)
30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0
Sumsel United
24 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
1 : 1
Sumsel United
18 Oct
Sumsel United
2 : 1
Persikad Depok
10 Oct
Sumsel United
5 : 1
Persiku Kudus
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 PSMS Medan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Sumsel United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Semen Padang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSPS Riau 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Persiraja Aceh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persita 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Java United 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 PSIS Semarang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Adhyaksa Bekasi 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persiku Kudus 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Garudayaksa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSGC Ciamis 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tornado Pekanbaru 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 PSBS Biak Numfor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persebaya 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persik Kediri 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persis Solo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Madura United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persijap Jepara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bali United 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PS Barito Putera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Balikpapan 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSM Makassar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Persipura Jayapura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 De Red 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arema FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 RANS Nusantara 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)