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Persijap Jepara vs Madura United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

I.League Cup Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium, Jepara
Tue, Dec 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the I.League Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Madura United have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Persijap Jepara have conceded 1.33 and scored 0.73. Head-to-head, Persijap Jepara have won 1 to Madura United's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 2.00) point toward Madura United. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Persijap Jepara
30%
Draws
58%
Madura United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madura United come out ahead of Persijap Jepara on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Madura United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Madura United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Persijap Jepara, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Madura United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Persijap Jepara Clean Sheet 10%
Madura United Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persijap Jepara Madura United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Super League
Madura United vs Persijap Jepara
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Super League
Persijap Jepara vs Madura United
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Persijap Jepara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persijap Jepara 22 / 100
Madura United 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persijap Jepara Madura United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madura United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madura United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Persijap Jepara found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Persijap Jepara remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Persijap Jepara VS Madura United
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Persijap Jepara

(Home)
03 Nov
Persela Lamongan
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
30 Oct
Persebaya
1 : 1
Persijap Jepara
24 Oct
Persijap Jepara
1 : 1
Java United
20 Oct
Dewa United
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
16 Oct
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
Page 1 of 6

Madura United

(Away)
06 Nov
Madura United
3 : 0
Arema FC
31 Oct
PSM Makassar
0 : 1
Madura United
26 Oct
Persebaya
3 : 1
Madura United
22 Oct
Madura United
1 : 0
Persib Bandung
16 Oct
Madura United
3 : 3
FC Bhayangkara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 PSMS Medan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Sumsel United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Semen Padang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSPS Riau 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Persiraja Aceh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persita 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Java United 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 PSIS Semarang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Adhyaksa Bekasi 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persiku Kudus 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Garudayaksa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSGC Ciamis 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tornado Pekanbaru 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 PSBS Biak Numfor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persebaya 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persik Kediri 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persis Solo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Madura United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persijap Jepara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bali United 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PS Barito Putera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Balikpapan 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSM Makassar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Persipura Jayapura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 De Red 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arema FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 RANS Nusantara 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)