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Persik Kediri vs Arema FC

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Brawijaya Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gomez E.
Assist: Castanheira T.
14'
Guntara L.
28' Event
Castanheira T.
Assist: Bayu Otto

AI Match Summary

Persik Kediri host Arema FC in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Persik Kediri have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Arema FC's 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Persik Kediri have won 4 to Arema FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.31) point toward Persik Kediri. Persik Kediri in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Persik Kediri
11%
Draws
80%
Arema FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Arema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Arema FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Persik Kediri.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Arema FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Persik Kediri Clean Sheet 18%
Arema FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persik Kediri Arema FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC
3:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
2:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
0:3
Dec 16, 2024 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC
1:0
Nov 27, 2023 Super League
Arema FC vs Persik Kediri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persik Kediri Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castanheira T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalberto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walisson Maia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persik Kediri 12 / 100
Arema FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persik Kediri Arema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persik Kediri scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Arema FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Persik Kediri went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Arema FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persik Kediri VS Arema FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518