Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persik Kediri vs Bali United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Brawijaya Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Aditama F. In: Herdiana H.
Out: Aditama F.
23' Event
Firly M.
Own Goal
29' Event
Enrique J.

AI Match Summary

Persik Kediri host Bali United in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bali United have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Persik Kediri have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Persik Kediri slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.75, favoring Bali United. Bali United in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Persik Kediri
6%
Draws
90%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bali United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Persik Kediri.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bali United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Persik Kediri Clean Sheet 12%
Bali United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persik Kediri Bali United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Bali United
3:2
Aug 10, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Persik Kediri
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Persik Kediri
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Bali United
1:3
Feb 5, 2024 Super League
Persik Kediri vs Bali United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persik Kediri Compare

Top Goalscorer Enrique J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Luna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persik Kediri 10 / 100
Bali United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persik Kediri Bali United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persik Kediri scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bali United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Persik Kediri went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bali United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persik Kediri VS Bali United
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518