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Stadium Background

Persikad Depok vs PSMS Medan

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Pakansari Stadium, Cibinong
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sitepu N.
20'
Kim Jeung-Ho
25'
Setiawan A.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persikad Depok and PSMS Medan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persikad Depok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Persikad Depok
20%
Draws
23%
PSMS Medan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persikad Depok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persikad Depok come out ahead of PSMS Medan on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Persikad Depok Clean Sheet 68%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persikad Depok PSMS Medan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Championship
Persikad Depok vs PSMS Medan
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Championship
Persikad Depok vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persikad Depok
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persikad Depok Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitepu N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

PSMS Medan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persikad Depok 41 / 100
PSMS Medan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persikad Depok PSMS Medan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persikad Depok Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PSMS Medan conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Persikad Depok found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Persikad Depok went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persikad Depok VS PSMS Medan
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Persikad Depok

(Home)
18 Sept
Bekasi City
1 : 2
Persikad Depok
12 Sept
Persikad Depok
2 : 1
PSGC Ciamis
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Persikad Depok
25 Apr
Persikad Depok
3 : 2
Bekasi City
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1
Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6

PSMS Medan

(Away)
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0
Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1
PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0
PSMS Medan
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2
Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)