Sport Picks
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gawalise Stadium, Palu 
Match Events
17'
17'
Salampessy R.
Assist: Sroyer J.
19'
19'
Sub
Solossa B. In: Mansaray V.
Out: Solossa B.
23'
23'
Sroyer J.
Assist: Mandowen G.
AI Match Summary
Persipura Jayapura in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persipura Jayapura.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Persipura Jayapura have won more games recently than Persipal BU.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Persipura Jayapura taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persipal BU | Persipura Jayapura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
0:5
Nov 12, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0
Feb 9, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persipal BU
3:0
Jan 24, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs Persipura Jayapura
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persipal BU Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Persipura Jayapura Compare
Top Goalscorer Mansaray V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Salampessy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persipal BU 10 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persipal BU Persipura Jayapura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Persipal BU scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Persipura Jayapura conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.
Away concern: Persipura Jayapura has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Persipal BU VS Persipura Jayapura
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
5.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Persipal BU
(Home) 03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3 Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5 Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1 Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4 Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0 Persipal BU
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5 Persipura Jayapura
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4 Deltras Sidoarjo
27 Feb
Persipal BU
1 : 4 Persiku Kudus
23 Feb
Persipal BU
1 : 1 Balikpapan
31 Jan
Persipal BU
1 : 3 Persela Lamongan
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Persipura Jayapura
(Away) 26 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 1 Persis Solo
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0 Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2 Persipura Jayapura
08 May
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 1 Isenmulang Kalteng
03 May
Persipura Jayapura
2 : 0 Persiku Kudus
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2 Persipura Jayapura
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5 Persipura Jayapura
04 Apr
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
01 Mar
Tornado Pekanbaru
2 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
21 Feb
PSS Sleman
2 : 0 Persipura Jayapura
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
