Sport Picks

Persipura Jayapura vs De Red - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia

I.League Cup Mandala Stadium, Jayapura

De Red

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the I.League Cup. This one's hard to separate. De Red have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Persipura Jayapura have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.9. Head-to-head, Persipura Jayapura have won 1 to De Red's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Persipura Jayapura to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Persipura Jayapura

20%

Draws

29%

De Red

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Persipura Jayapura have won more games recently than De Red.
Persipura Jayapura are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Persipura Jayapura have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 20%

De Red Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Persipura Jayapura	De Red
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	16	8
Draws	6	9
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	1.9	1.1
Goals Conceded	0.86	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Championship

De Red vs Persipura Jayapura

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipura Jayapura 85 / 100

De Red 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Persipura Jayapura De Red

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Persipura Jayapura found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

De Red's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Persipura Jayapura has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persipura Jayapura VS De Red

1.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History