Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persipura Jayapura vs Persela Lamongan

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Mandala Stadium, Jayapura
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Salampessy R. In: Waicang G.
Out: Salampessy R.
36'
Matsunaga T.
53'
Rianto I.

AI Match Summary

Persipura Jayapura in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persipura Jayapura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Persipura Jayapura
17%
Draws
13%
Persela Lamongan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Persipura Jayapura have won more games recently than Persela Lamongan.
  • Model gives Persipura Jayapura a 70% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 17%
Persela Lamongan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persipura Jayapura Persela Lamongan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persela Lamongan
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persela Lamongan
2:0
Oct 6, 2025 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura
1:2
Dec 6, 2024 Championship
Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persela Lamongan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mandowen G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Persela Lamongan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipura Jayapura 66 / 100
Persela Lamongan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persipura Jayapura Persela Lamongan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipura Jayapura scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Persela Lamongan conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Persipura Jayapura stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persipura Jayapura VS Persela Lamongan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persipura Jayapura

(Home)
08 May
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 1
Adhyaksa
03 May
Persipura Jayapura
2 : 0
Persiku Kudus
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5
Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persipura Jayapura
3 : 1
PSIS Semarang
11 Apr
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 6

Persela Lamongan

(Away)
03 May
Tornado Pekanbaru
5 : 0
Persela Lamongan
25 Apr
Persela Lamongan
1 : 1
PS Barito Putera
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
11 Apr
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Persela Lamongan
05 Apr
Deltras Sidoarjo
1 : 2
Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)