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Persipura Jayapura vs Persewar Waropen Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Mandala Stadium, Jayapura
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Onna J.
16'
Rumakiek R.
36'
Sub
Wally R. In: Ayomi S.
Out: Wally R.

AI Match Summary

Persipura Jayapura in this Liga 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persipura Jayapura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Persipura Jayapura
35%
Draws
19%
Persewar Waropen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Persipura Jayapura have won more games recently than Persewar Waropen.
  • Persipura Jayapura are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 68%
Persewar Waropen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persipura Jayapura Persewar Waropen
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.66 1
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Persipura Jayapura
1:3
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persewar Waropen
2:1
Dec 4, 2023 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persewar Waropen
2:0
Oct 12, 2023 Championship
Persewar Waropen vs Persipura Jayapura
2:1
Dec 16, 2022 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Persewar Waropen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Uopdana A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Persewar Waropen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persipura Jayapura 95 / 100
Persewar Waropen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persipura Jayapura Persewar Waropen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persewar Waropen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Persipura Jayapura's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Persipura Jayapura has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persipura Jayapura VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Persipura Jayapura

(Home)
02 Oct
Dejan
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
26 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 1
Persis Solo
18 Sept
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
12 Sept
PS Barito Putera
3 : 2
Persipura Jayapura
08 May
Persipura Jayapura
0 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
Page 1 of 7

Persewar Waropen

(Away)
25 Feb
Persewar Waropen
2 : 6
Persibo Bojonegoro
20 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Persiku Kudus
16 Feb
Gresik
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
13 Feb
Persekat Tegal
2 : 1
Persewar Waropen
04 Feb
Persewar Waropen
0 : 0
Gresik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)