Sport Picks
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh 
Match Events
24'
24'
Sokoy F.
41'
41'
Cadenazzi F.
46'
46'
Sub
Rahman F. In: Wijianto S.
Out: Rahman F.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Persiraja Aceh and PSMS Medan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persiraja Aceh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Persiraja Aceh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Persiraja Aceh a 39% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 20%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persiraja Aceh | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Aceh
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Aceh
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persiraja Aceh Compare
Top Goalscorer Habib A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Cadenazzi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persiraja Aceh 58 / 100
PSMS Medan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persiraja Aceh PSMS Medan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persiraja Aceh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSMS Medan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Persiraja Aceh scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Persiraja Aceh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Persiraja Aceh VS PSMS Medan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Persiraja Aceh
(Home) 19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 1 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 3
PSMS Medan
(Away) 13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
11 Apr
Garudayaksa
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
