Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persiraja Aceh vs Semen Padang

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Kaffa B.
22'
Al Giffari I.
27'
Sub
Jati W. In: Bolang R.
Out: Jati W.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Persiraja Aceh and Semen Padang finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Semen Padang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Persiraja Aceh
35%
Draws
45%
Semen Padang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Semen Padang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Persiraja Aceh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Persiraja Aceh a 20% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 68%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persiraja Aceh Semen Padang
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.57 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Semen Padang
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 Championship
Semen Padang vs Persiraja Aceh
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Semen Padang
0:0
Dec 17, 2023 Championship
Semen Padang vs Persiraja Aceh
4:0
Oct 21, 2023 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Semen Padang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persiraja Aceh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Semen Padang Compare

Top Goalscorer Maring A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persiraja Aceh 95 / 100
Semen Padang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persiraja Aceh Semen Padang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persiraja Aceh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persiraja Aceh's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Semen Padang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Persiraja Aceh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Persiraja Aceh VS Semen Padang
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Persiraja Aceh

(Home)
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2
Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 6

Semen Padang

(Away)
26 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 2
Semen Padang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Semen Padang 3 2 1 0 4:1 6
2 Persikad Depok 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 PSPS Riau 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
4 PSMS Medan 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
5 PSIS Semarang 2 1 1 0 3:2 3
6 PSGC Ciamis 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
7 Bekasi City 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
8 Sumsel United 3 0 1 2 3:6 0
9 Persiraja Aceh 2 0 0 2 1:3 -1
10 Persiku Kudus 2 0 1 1 1:7 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Persela Lamongan 2 2 0 0 3:0 5
3 Tornado Pekanbaru 3 1 2 0 3:2 4
4 RANS Nusantara 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
5 PS Barito Putera 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
6 Dejan 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Persis Solo 2 1 0 1 7:2 3
8 Persipura Jayapura 2 0 1 1 2:3 0
9 Balikpapan 3 0 0 3 2:5 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 2 0 0 2 0:12 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)