Sport Picks
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United Prediction & H2H Stats
Indonesia
Championship Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh 
Match Events
18'
18'
Saputra A.
22'
22'
Subhi A.
28'
28'
Darmawan T.
Assist: Ngwoke K.
AI Match Summary
Sumsel United in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumsel United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sumsel United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Persiraja Aceh lately — more wins on the board than Sumsel United.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 18%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persiraja Aceh | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
2:0
Nov 18, 2025 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
3:1
Sep 22, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persiraja Aceh
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persiraja Aceh Compare
Top Goalscorer Hariono J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Darmawan T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ngwoke K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persiraja Aceh 32 / 100
Sumsel United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persiraja Aceh Sumsel United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Persiraja Aceh's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Sumsel United has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Persiraja Aceh remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Persiraja Aceh VS Sumsel United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Persiraja Aceh
(Home) 02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
26 Sept
Persikad Depok
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 4
Sumsel United
(Away) 02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Isenmulang Kalteng
3 : 2 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSMS Medan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Persikad Depok | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Semen Padang | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 4 | PSIS Semarang | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | PSPS Riau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 6 | PSGC Ciamis | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Sumsel United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Bekasi City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 9 | Persiraja Aceh | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -1 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Persela Lamongan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 11 |
| 3 | RANS Nusantara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Persipura Jayapura | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 6 | PS Barito Putera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 7 | Persis Solo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Dejan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:23 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
