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Stadium Background

Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Harapan Bangsa Stadium, Banda Aceh
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Habib A.
Assist: Ridwan F.
10'
Muharrir M.
21'
Sub
Dall'Oca In: Afrizal S.
Out: Dall'Oca

AI Match Summary

Persiraja Aceh in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persiraja Aceh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Persiraja Aceh
35%
Draws
41%
Sumsel United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sumsel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sumsel United have won more games recently than Persiraja Aceh.
  • Persiraja Aceh are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Persiraja Aceh have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 16%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persiraja Aceh Sumsel United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
2:0
Nov 18, 2025 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs Sumsel United
3:1
Sep 22, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persiraja Aceh
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persiraja Aceh Compare

Top Goalscorer Habib A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ridwan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sumsel United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persiraja Aceh 41 / 100
Sumsel United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persiraja Aceh Sumsel United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Persiraja Aceh scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sumsel United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Persiraja Aceh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Persiraja Aceh VS Sumsel United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Persiraja Aceh

(Home)
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
26 Apr
Persekat Tegal
1 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2
Garudayaksa
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Sumsel United

(Away)
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0
Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0
Sumsel United
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1
Persikad Depok
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)