Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Persita vs Dewa United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, Tangerang
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Bueno R.
27'
Matheus Alves
36' Event
Kambuaya R.
Assist: Jaja

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Persita and Dewa United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Persita
30%
Draws
47%
Dewa United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dewa United come out ahead of Persita on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dewa United a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dewa United here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Persita Clean Sheet 13%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Persita Dewa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Super League
Persita vs Dewa United
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Persita
1:0
May 9, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Persita
3:0
Dec 16, 2024 Super League
Persita vs Dewa United
0:4
Mar 27, 2024 Super League
Dewa United vs Persita
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kambuaya R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persita 10 / 100
Dewa United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Persita Dewa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dewa United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dewa United let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Persita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persita's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Persita VS Dewa United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persita

(Home)
13 Sept
Persita
3 : 2
Java United
05 Sept
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 1
Persita
23 May
Persita
1 : 3
Persis Solo
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
10 May
Persita
0 : 3
Persijap Jepara
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Dewa United

(Away)
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)