Sport Picks

Indonesia

Super League Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, Tangerang

Persita

4 - 1

Madura United

Our Tip

Match Events

Nur Hardianto A.

Ganet P.

Assist: Djiaulhaq Z.

16'

Rodriguez R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Persita in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Persita

17%

Draws

70%

Madura United

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Madura United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Persita lately — more wins on the board than Madura United.
Win probability leans Madura United's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Persita Clean Sheet 18%

Madura United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Persita	Madura United
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	5	7
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	0.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League

Persita vs Madura United

4:1

Aug 24, 2025 Super League

Madura United vs Persita

1:1

Jan 24, 2025 Super League

Persita vs Madura United

1:1

Aug 24, 2024 Super League

Madura United vs Persita

0:1

Mar 6, 2024 Super League

Madura United vs Persita

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Persita Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nur Hardianto A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Madura United Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Persita 15 / 100

Madura United 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Persita Madura United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Madura United conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Persita scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Persita stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Persita VS Madura United

0.63 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

38% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Persita

(Home)

23 May

Persita

1 : 3

Persis Solo

16 May

Malut United

1 : 1

Persita

10 May

Persita

0 : 3

Persijap Jepara

05 May

Borneo

2 : 0

Persita

30 Apr

PSIM Yogyakarta

0 : 1

Persita

Page 1 of 6

Madura United

(Away)

23 May

Madura United

2 : 0

PSM Makassar

17 May

PSIM Yogyakarta

2 : 1

Madura United

11 May

FC Bhayangkara

3 : 1

Madura United

05 May

Madura United

2 : 0

Bali United

29 Apr

Semen Padang

0 : 1

Madura United

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Persib Bandung	34	24	7	3	59:22	79
2	Borneo	34	25	4	5	74:31	79
3	Persija Jakarta	34	22	5	7	65:29	71
4	Persebaya	34	16	10	8	61:35	58
5	FC Bhayangkara	34	16	5	13	53:45	53
6	Malut United	34	15	8	11	68:53	53
7	Dewa United	34	16	5	13	44:37	53
8	Bali United	34	14	9	11	57:48	51
9	Arema FC	34	13	9	12	53:47	48
10	Persita	34	13	6	15	38:37	45
11	PSIM Yogyakarta	34	11	12	11	43:44	45
12	Persik Kediri	34	11	6	17	42:61	39
13	Persijap Jepara	34	9	9	16	31:45	36
14	Madura United	34	9	8	17	37:54	35
15	PSM Makassar	34	8	10	16	39:49	34
16	Persis Solo	34	8	10	16	39:59	34
17	Semen Padang	34	5	5	24	22:65	20
18	PSBS Biak Numfor	34	4	6	24	31:95	18

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