Sport Picks
Persita vs Madura United Prediction & H2H Stats
Indonesia
Super League 2025/2026 Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, Tangerang 
Match Events
5'
5'
Nur Hardianto A.
9'
9'
Ganet P.
Assist: Djiaulhaq Z.
16'
16'
Rodriguez R.
AI Match Summary
Persita in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Persita.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
30%
50%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madura United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Madura United lately — more wins on the board than Persita.
- Win probability leans Madura United's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Persita Clean Sheet 13%
Madura United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Persita | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Persita vs Madura United
4:1
Aug 24, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs Persita
1:1
Jan 24, 2025 Super League
Persita vs Madura United
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Super League
Madura United vs Persita
0:1
Mar 6, 2024 Super League
Madura United vs Persita
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Persita Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nur Hardianto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Madura United Compare
Top Goalscorer Riquelme
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Persita 10 / 100
Madura United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Persita Madura United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Madura United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Madura United conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Persita has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Persita's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Persita VS Madura United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Persita
(Home) 19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2 Persita
13 Sept
Persita
3 : 2 Java United
05 Sept
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 1 Persita
23 May
Persita
1 : 3 Persis Solo
16 May
Java United
1 : 1 Persita
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Persita
3 : 2 Java United
23 May
Persita
1 : 3 Persis Solo
10 May
Persita
0 : 3 Persijap Jepara
23 Apr
Persita
0 : 1 Bali United
10 Apr
Persita
0 : 1 Arema FC
Page 1 of 3
Madura United
(Away) 18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0 Persijap Jepara
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3 Madura United
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0 PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3 Madura United
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1 Madura United
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Java United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
