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Perth Azzurri vs Fremantle City

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Dorrien Gardens
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ahmedov I.
57' Event
Perkins G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Perth Azzurri
30%
Draws
34%
Fremantle City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Azzurri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fremantle City have won more games recently than Perth Azzurri.
  • Win probability leans Perth Azzurri's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Perth Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Azzurri Fremantle City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Fremantle City
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Azzurri
0:5
Mar 21, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Fremantle City
2:1
Aug 16, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Fremantle City
2:0
May 25, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth Azzurri
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Azzurri Compare

Top Goalscorer Perkins G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmedov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Azzurri 34 / 100
Fremantle City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Azzurri Fremantle City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Azzurri scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Fremantle City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Perth Azzurri stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Azzurri VS Fremantle City
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar18114329:2337
2Olympic Kingsway18113440:2536
3Bayswater17104342:2334
4Fremantle City1987438:2731
5Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
6Stirling Macedonia1872932:2923
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1855828:3420
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale18441033:4716
11Perth Glory U2318351030:3814
12Balcatta18421226:4914