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Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Mutema T.
45' Event
Iida T.
79' Event
Iida T.

AI Match Summary

Balcatta in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Balcatta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Perth Glory U23
35%
Draws
28%
Balcatta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Perth Glory U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Perth Glory U23 have won more games recently than Balcatta.
  • Win probability leans Perth Glory U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Balcatta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Balcatta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Perth Glory U23
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta
4:1
May 31, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Perth Glory U23
1:3
Jun 29, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutema T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Balcatta Compare

Top Goalscorer Iida T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ghinea D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 40 / 100
Balcatta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Balcatta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Balcatta let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Perth Glory U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory U23 VS Balcatta
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory U23

(Home)
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Perth Glory U23
4 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
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Balcatta

(Away)
22 Aug
Balcatta
0 : 2
Dianella White Eagle
15 Aug
Western Knights
0 : 0
Balcatta
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
18 Jul
Balcatta
2 : 0
Stirling Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)