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Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Mutema T.
45' Event
Iida T.
79' Event
Iida T.

AI Match Summary

Perth Glory U23 host Balcatta in the NPL Western Australia. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Balcatta have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Perth Glory U23 have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Balcatta slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.69, favoring Perth Glory U23. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Perth Glory U23
20%
Draws
38%
Balcatta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perth Glory U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth Glory U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Balcatta.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Perth Glory U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Western Australia provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Balcatta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Balcatta
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta
1:3
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Perth Glory U23
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta
4:1
May 31, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Perth Glory U23
1:3
Jun 29, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Balcatta
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutema T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Balcatta Compare

Top Goalscorer Iida T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ghinea D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 40 / 100
Balcatta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Balcatta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory U23 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Balcatta let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Perth Glory U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Balcatta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory U23 VS Balcatta
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar17114229:2037
2Bayswater17104342:2334
3Olympic Kingsway17103437:2533
4Perth Azzurri1786340:3130
5Fremantle City1877435:2728
6Stirling Macedonia1772832:2723
7Western Knights1764731:3022
8Dianella White Eagle1755728:3120
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale17431031:4515
11Perth Glory U2317341028:3613
12Balcatta17321224:4911