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Perth Glory U23 vs Sorrento

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Cummings D.
(Penalty)
90'
Fitch T.

AI Match Summary

Sorrento in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Perth Glory U23
30%
Draws
23%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Glory U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Perth Glory U23 at 1.97 per game, Sorrento at 1.1.
  • Perth Glory U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Sorrento
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Sorrento
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth Glory U23
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Sorrento
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Perth Glory U23
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 84 / 100
Sorrento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Sorrento has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Perth Glory U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory U23 VS Sorrento
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory U23

(Home)
22 Aug
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Glory U23
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Western Knights
2 : 2
Perth Glory U23
25 Jul
Perth Glory U23
4 : 0
Dianella White Eagle
18 Jul
Perth Glory U23
2 : 2
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

Sorrento

(Away)
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
1 : 1
Sorrento
08 Aug
Bayswater
7 : 1
Sorrento
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
11 Jul
Sorrento
0 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)