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Perth Glory U23 vs Western Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Sam Kerr Football Centre
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AI Match Summary

Perth Glory U23 play Western Knights in the NPL Western Australia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Perth Glory U23 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Western Knights averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Perth Glory U23 won 3, Western Knights won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Perth Glory U23 and 1.88 for Western Knights. This points to a Perth Glory U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Perth Glory U23
17%
Draws
40%
Western Knights
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Perth Glory U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth Glory U23 picked up more points recently compared to Western Knights.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Perth Glory U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Western Knights Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory U23 Western Knights
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Western Knights
3:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Western Knights vs Perth Glory U23
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Glory U23 vs Western Knights
1:5
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Perth Glory U23
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Western Knights vs Perth Glory U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth Glory U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sollitt L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mutyavaviri T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Western Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazzaro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory U23 41 / 100
Western Knights 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory U23 Western Knights

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Perth Glory U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Perth Glory U23 attacking → ← attacking Western Knights

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory U23 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Western Knights let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Perth Glory U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Western Knights lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 35
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bayswater17104342:2334
2Perth RedStar16104227:1934
3Olympic Kingsway16103336:2333
4Perth Azzurri1786340:3130
5Fremantle City1767433:2725
6Stirling Macedonia1772832:2723
7Western Knights1764731:3022
8Dianella White Eagle1755728:3120
9Sorrento1762918:2920
10Armadale17431031:4515
11Perth Glory U2317341028:3613
12Balcatta17321224:4911