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Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd

Australia Australia

A-League HBF Park, Perth
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perth Glory host Adelaide Utd in the A-League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Perth Glory at 1.23 goals for, 1.57 against; Adelaide Utd at 1.8 for, 1.3 against. Head-to-head, Perth Glory have won 1 to Adelaide Utd's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.33 xG vs 1.31) point toward Adelaide Utd. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Perth Glory
20%
Draws
42%
Adelaide Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Adelaide Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adelaide Utd come out ahead of Perth Glory on wins alone.
  • Adelaide Utd are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 18%
Adelaide Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory Adelaide Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
4:0
Dec 20, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
4:1
Nov 29, 2024 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory 28 / 100
Adelaide Utd 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory Adelaide Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Perth Glory scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Perth Glory went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory VS Adelaide Utd
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory

(Home)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Perth Glory
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Adelaide Utd

(Away)
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
11 Aug
Adelaide Utd
0 : 2
Cong An Ha Noi
30 Jul
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd
20 Jul
Playford Patriots
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Central Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle Jets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Perth Glory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sydney FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Wellington Phoenix 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Melbourne Victory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Western Sydney Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Macarthur FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Auckland FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)