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Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd

Australia Australia

A-League HBF Park, Perth
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perth Glory host Adelaide Utd in the A-League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Perth Glory at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Adelaide Utd at 1.75 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Perth Glory have won 1 to Adelaide Utd's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Adelaide Utd. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Perth Glory
44%
Draws
20%
Adelaide Utd
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adelaide Utd come out ahead of Perth Glory on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 15%
Adelaide Utd Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory Adelaide Utd
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
4:0
Dec 20, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
4:1
Nov 29, 2024 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory 35 / 100
Adelaide Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory Adelaide Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Perth Glory scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Perth Glory went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory VS Adelaide Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory

(Home)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Perth Glory
Page 1 of 7

Adelaide Utd

(Away)
20 Jul
Playford Patriots
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
26 Apr
Melbourne City
1 : 2
Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Utd00000:00
2Central Coast00000:00
3Newcastle Jets00000:00
4Perth Glory00000:00
5Brisbane Roar00000:00
6Sydney FC00000:00
7Wellington Phoenix00000:00
8Melbourne Victory00000:00
9Melbourne City00000:00
10Western Sydney Wanderers00000:00
11Macarthur FC00000:00
12Auckland FC00000:00
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)