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Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League HBF Park, Perth
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
10:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perth Glory host Newcastle Jets in the A-League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Newcastle Jets have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Perth Glory have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Perth Glory have won 1 to Newcastle Jets's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Newcastle Jets. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Perth Glory
20%
Draws
10%
Newcastle Jets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newcastle Jets come out ahead of Perth Glory on wins alone.
  • Perth Glory are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 16%
Newcastle Jets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth Glory Newcastle Jets
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
0:4
Mar 9, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth Glory 84 / 100
Newcastle Jets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth Glory Newcastle Jets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Perth Glory's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Perth Glory remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Perth Glory VS Newcastle Jets
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth Glory

(Home)
03 Oct
Perth Glory
1 : 3
Adelaide Utd
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0
Adelaide Utd
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Jets

(Away)
13 Oct
Newcastle Jets
1 : 3
Gamba Osaka
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1
Newcastle Jets
21 Jul
Preston Lions
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets
16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2
Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1
Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sydney FC 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
2 Western Sydney Wanderers 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Central Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Jets 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Perth Glory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Wellington Phoenix 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne Victory 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Melbourne City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Macarthur FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Auckland FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)