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Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia RedStar Arena, Joondalup
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Match Events

12' Event
Edwards C.
44' Event
Bingwa T.
49' Event
Domfeh M.

AI Match Summary

Fremantle City in this NPL Western Australia matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fremantle City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Perth RedStar
20%
Draws
51%
Fremantle City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fremantle City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fremantle City haven't matched Perth RedStar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fremantle City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 10%
Fremantle City Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth RedStar Fremantle City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City
0:3
May 30, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth RedStar
2:2
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Fremantle City
2:0
May 10, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Fremantle City vs Perth RedStar
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth RedStar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fremantle City Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bingwa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth RedStar 18 / 100
Fremantle City 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth RedStar Fremantle City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fremantle City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Perth RedStar scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Fremantle City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Perth RedStar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perth RedStar VS Fremantle City
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth RedStar

(Home)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
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Fremantle City

(Away)
22 Aug
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 1
Fremantle City
15 Aug
Perth Glory U23
5 : 3
Fremantle City
09 Aug
South Melbourne
4 : 3
Fremantle City
01 Aug
Fremantle City
2 : 2
Perth Azzurri
22 Jul
Maitland
1 : 2
Fremantle City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)