Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perth RedStar vs Perth Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia RedStar Arena, Joondalup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jacobsz P.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Evans J.
87'
Warland R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Perth RedStar
15%
Draws
64%
Perth Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perth Azzurri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Perth Azzurri haven't matched Perth RedStar's recent run of results.
  • Perth Azzurri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Perth RedStar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Perth Azzurri, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Perth RedStar Clean Sheet 10%
Perth Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perth RedStar Perth Azzurri
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.55 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Perth Azzurri
1:3
Aug 15, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Perth RedStar
5:2
May 22, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Perth Azzurri
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Perth RedStar
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth RedStar vs Perth Azzurri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perth RedStar Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Perth Azzurri Compare

Top Goalscorer Scafetta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ninkovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perth RedStar 10 / 100
Perth Azzurri 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perth RedStar Perth Azzurri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Azzurri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Perth Azzurri conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Perth RedStar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Perth RedStar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Perth RedStar VS Perth Azzurri
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Perth RedStar

(Home)
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
01 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Perth RedStar
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
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Perth Azzurri

(Away)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
08 Sept
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 2
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bayswater 5
Olympic Kingsway 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Perth RedStar 1
Perth Azzurri 3
Semi-finals
Bayswater -
TBD -
Olympic Kingsway 0
Perth Azzurri 2
Final
Bayswater 2
Perth Azzurri 0