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Stadium Background

Peru U17 vs Paraguay U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 2025 Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
De Carvalho M.
19' Event
Zayas F.
32'
Sub
Calagua V. In: Zegarra I.
Out: Calagua V.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U17 2025 game between Peru U17 and Paraguay U17 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraguay U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Peru U17
15%
Draws
85%
Paraguay U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paraguay U17 come out ahead of Peru U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paraguay U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Peru U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Paraguay U17 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U17 Paraguay U17
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.7 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2025 South American Championship U17
Peru U17 vs Paraguay U17
0:5
May 30, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U17 vs Peru U17
1:1
May 28, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U17 vs Peru U17
0:1
Apr 5, 2023 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Peru U17
4:0
Apr 9, 2019 South American Championship U17
Peru U17 vs Paraguay U17
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Paraguay U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Carvalho M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U17 10 / 100
Paraguay U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U17 Paraguay U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Paraguay U17's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Peru U17's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Peru U17 VS Paraguay U17
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U17

(Home)
10 Apr
Venezuela U17
1 : 0
Peru U17
08 Apr
Bolivia U17
2 : 0
Peru U17
06 Apr
Peru U17
1 : 4
Brazil U17
04 Apr
Peru U17
1 : 4
Argentina U17
02 Apr
Argentina U17
5 : 0
Peru U17
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Paraguay U17

(Away)
12 Apr
Paraguay U17
0 : 2
Colombia U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
03 Apr
Paraguay U17
1 : 2
Ecuador U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U17 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Chile U17 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Argentina U17 4 2 0 2 12:6 6
4 Paraguay U17 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
5 Peru U17 4 0 0 4 0:17 0
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Venezuela U17 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ecuador U17 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Bolivia U17 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Uruguay U17 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)