Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru U20 vs Ecuador U20

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Collahuazo J.
39' Event
Posito Olazabal A. J.
(Penalty)
45'
Villacorta A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Peru U20
30%
Draws
58%
Ecuador U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ecuador U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ecuador U20 lately — more wins on the board than Peru U20.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Peru U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U20 Ecuador U20
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 Friendly International
Peru U20 vs Ecuador U20
2:2
Dec 17, 2024 Friendly International
Peru U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:0
Jan 24, 2019 South American Championship U20
Peru U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:3
Jan 17, 2015 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Peru U20
0:2
Jan 30, 2013 South American Championship U20
Peru U20 vs Ecuador U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soyer B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ecuador U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Collahuazo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U20 32 / 100
Ecuador U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U20 Ecuador U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Peru U20 scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Peru U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peru U20 VS Ecuador U20
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U20

(Home)
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
29 Jan
Uruguay U20
2 : 0
Peru U20
27 Jan
Chile U20
3 : 2
Peru U20
25 Jan
Peru U20
0 : 4
Venezuela U20
Page 1 of 6

Ecuador U20

(Away)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
Page 1 of 6