Sport Picks

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Peru U20 vs Uruguay U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20
Fri, Jan 31, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peru U20 host Uruguay U20 in the South American Championship U20. This one's hard to separate. Peru U20 have averaged 0.85 scored and 1.81 conceded recently, against Uruguay U20's 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Peru U20 have won 1 to Uruguay U20's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.71 - 1.35) back Uruguay U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Peru U20
20%
Draws
40%
Uruguay U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Uruguay U20 have won more games recently than Peru U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Peru U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Uruguay U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U20 Uruguay U20
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2025 South American Championship U20
Peru U20 vs Uruguay U20
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 South American Championship U20
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
2:0
Nov 14, 2024 Friendly International
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
0:0
Nov 12, 2024 Friendly International
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 South American Games U19
Uruguay U20 vs Peru U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U20 31 / 100
Uruguay U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U20 Uruguay U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U20 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Uruguay U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

Difficult form: Uruguay U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Peru U20 VS Uruguay U20
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U20

(Home)
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
29 Jan
Uruguay U20
2 : 0
Peru U20
27 Jan
Chile U20
3 : 2
Peru U20
25 Jan
Peru U20
0 : 4
Venezuela U20
Page 1 of 6

Uruguay U20

(Away)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
16 Feb
Uruguay U20
1 : 3
Colombia U20
13 Feb
Paraguay U20
1 : 0
Uruguay U20
11 Feb
Chile U20
1 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)