Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru U23 vs Uruguay U23

World World

Olympic Games 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Caballero E.
11' Event
Ginella F.
31'
Rossi D.

AI Match Summary

The Olympic Games 2020 game between Peru U23 and Uruguay U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uruguay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Peru U23
20%
Draws
40%
Uruguay U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Uruguay U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Olympic Games 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Uruguay U23 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru U23 Uruguay U23
Matches Played 20 27
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.85 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Olympic Games
Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23
3:0
Jan 28, 2020 Olympic Games
Peru U23 vs Uruguay U23
0:1
Jul 30, 2019 Pan American Games
Uruguay U23 vs Peru U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Uruguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ginella F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru U23 36 / 100
Uruguay U23 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru U23 Uruguay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uruguay U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uruguay U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Peru U23 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (20 games).

Scoring Trends

Peru U23 VS Uruguay U23
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru U23

(Home)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 4

Uruguay U23

(Away)
02 Feb
Argentina U23
3 : 3
Uruguay U23
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
24 Jan
Paraguay U23
4 : 3
Uruguay U23
16 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 2
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Colombia U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Venezuela U23 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 Ecuador U23 4 0 0 4 0:9 0
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 4 0 0 11:5 12
2 Uruguay U23 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Bolivia U23 4 2 0 2 8:10 6
4 Paraguay U23 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)