Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru vs Bolivia

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Zabala L.
28'
Murrugarra J.
44'
Sejas C.

AI Match Summary

Peru in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Peru
15%
Draws
39%
Bolivia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Peru haven't matched Bolivia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Peru's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Peru have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Peru Clean Sheet 68%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Bolivia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.77 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Friendly International
Peru vs Bolivia
2:0
Mar 21, 2025 World Championship
Peru vs Bolivia
3:1
Nov 16, 2023 World Championship
Bolivia vs Peru
2:0
Nov 20, 2022 Friendly International
Peru vs Bolivia
1:0
Nov 12, 2021 World Championship
Peru vs Bolivia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru Compare

Top Goalscorer Magallanes P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soyer B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 68 / 100
Bolivia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Bolivia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Peru went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bolivia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Bolivia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
Page 1 of 6

Bolivia

(Away)
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
15 Mar
Bolivia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 7