Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peru vs Canada

South America South America

Copa América Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Laryea R.
46'
Sub
Cornelius D. In: Miller K.
Out: Cornelius D.
46'
Sub
Kone I. In: Osorio J.
Out: Kone I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Peru
20%
Draws
40%
Canada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Peru haven't matched Canada's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Canada's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Canada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Canada, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Peru Clean Sheet 19%
Canada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru Canada
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2024 Copa América
Peru vs Canada
0:1
Sep 4, 2010 Friendly International
Canada vs Peru
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer David J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru 28 / 100
Canada 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru Canada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Peru stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Peru found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Canada has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Peru VS Canada
1.29 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru
1 : 3
Spain
06 Jun
Haiti
1 : 2
Peru
31 Mar
Peru
2 : 2
Honduras
28 Mar
Senegal
2 : 0
Peru
21 Dec
Peru
2 : 0
Bolivia
Page 1 of 6

Canada

(Away)
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
3 Chile 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
4 Peru 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Mexico 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Jamaica 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Panama 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 USA 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Bolivia 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Brazil 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Costa Rica 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Paraguay 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Copa América (Play Offs)