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Peru W vs Paraguay W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Peru W Logo

Peru W

1 - 1
FT
Paraguay W Logo

Paraguay W

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tacilla Y.
Own Goal
25'
Fretes L.
41'
Bobadilla A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CONMEBOL Nations League Women game between Peru W and Paraguay W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Peru W
30%
Draws
33%
Paraguay W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peru W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Paraguay W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Peru W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Peru W Clean Sheet 13%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peru W Paraguay W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Peru W vs Paraguay W
1:1
Nov 30, 2021 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Peru W
4:2
Nov 27, 2021 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Peru W
1:1
Apr 6, 2018 Copa América Women
Paraguay W vs Peru W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peru W Compare

Top Goalscorer Campoverde L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paraguay W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peru W 35 / 100
Paraguay W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peru W Paraguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Paraguay W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Peru W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Peru W's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Peru W VS Paraguay W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peru W

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)