Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perugia U19 vs Ascoli U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Malafronte M.
63' Event
Dottori C.
65' Event
Tassotti D.

AI Match Summary

Perugia U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perugia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Perugia U19
20%
Draws
24%
Ascoli U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perugia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Ascoli U19.
  • Perugia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia U19 Ascoli U19
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Ascoli U19
3:2
Jan 10, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Ascoli U19
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Perugia U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perugia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dottori C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rondolini P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ascoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malafronte M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tassotti D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia U19 84 / 100
Ascoli U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia U19 Ascoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia U19 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Ascoli U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Perugia U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perugia U19 VS Ascoli U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 7

Ascoli U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli U19
2 : 2
Napoli U19
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1
Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)